探讨货币政策对某市房地产的影响及未来市场销售的预测分析.rar

摘要:自从1998年住房制度商品化改革以来，我国房地产得到极大发展，房价不断上升，投资增长迅猛。同时，我国房地产市场的发展也伴随着各种各样的问题出现，尤其是不断高涨房价所带来的泡沫经济问题。2010年开始，国家陆陆续续出台相关的房地产政策，都显示着控制房价是未来房地产的方向,而货币紧缩将是重要的调控工具。而作为全国最早对外开放的经济特区－汕头，汕头房地产的发展自然是离不开国家政策。本文以国家金融货币调控与汕头本地房地产的关系为出发点，来分析汕头房地产市场。

关键词：房地产,央行加息,货币紧缩,利率调控

Abstract:Since the 1998 housing system commercialization since the reform, China's real estate gets great development, house prices rising, the rapid growth of investment. At the same time, China's real estate market development is also associated with all kinds of problems, especially soaring house prices brought about by the bubble economy. Beginning in 2010, the state has issued relevant after the real estate policies, displays tightening monetary will be the future of real estate control direction. And as the earliest foreign open special economic zones-shantou, shantou real estate development natural is cannot leave national policy. This paper with the national financial regulation and the shantou local currency the relationship between real estate as a starting point, to analyze the shantou real estate market. 

Key Words：real estate, the central bank, monetary tightening, interest rate regulation

　　　目前汕头市房地产市场总体而言是良性的，不存在市场泡沫问题。因此，对于汕头房地产来说，今年国家一系列货币调控政策暂时不会有太大影响，相反有利于汕头房地产市场健康有序运行，有助于提前预防国内二、三线城市房地产泡沫经济严重的现象。从房价来看，汕头房价水平在全国仍处于中等水平，属于一个稳健的市场。建议政府大胆的推出更多相关政策，确保汕头房地产以平稳的发展势头迈步向前。