基于ElES模型的我国城乡居民消费对比分析.doc

摘要：本文首先阐述了城乡消费结构现状。然后借助《中国统计年鉴》（2005—2011）年的数据，分别建立起我国城乡居民消费的ELES模型，利用Eviews5.0进行回归分析，并利用该模型回归分析的结果进行边际消费倾向和边际预算份额、需求收入弹性、基本需求、需求价格弹性的比较分析，发现我国城乡居民的消费结构存在明显的差异，最后分析城乡居民消费结构差异成因，并提出缩小差异的对策。

关键词： ELES模型；边际消费倾向；需求收入弹性

Abstract: This article first elaborated the present situation of urban and rural residents’consumption structure.Furthermore,the ELES models of urban and rural residents’consumption were established with data from 2005 to 2011 in the “China Statistical Yearbook”.A regression analysis was conducted with Eviews5.0,and on the basis of which a comparative analysis was conducted of marginal propensity to consume and the marginal budget share, Income elasticity of demand,basic consumption expenditure, Price elasticity of demand.The results showed that a significant difference exists in the consumption structure of our country’s urban and rural residents.Finally,the reasons for the differences were analyzed,and some countermeasures were proposed to help narrow the differences.

Key words: ELES model; marginal propensity to consume; Income elasticity of demand

目录

一、我国城乡居民消费结构现状

二、扩展线性支出系统（ELES）模型的构建与检验

1、扩展线性支出系统（ELES）模型的构建

2、扩展线性支出系统（ELES）模型的检验

三、我国城乡居民消费结构的实证分析

1、边际消费倾向和边际预算份额分析

2、需求收入弹性分析

3、基本需求分析

4、需求价格分析

四、结论与建议

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