摘 要：人民币升值近些年来越来越成为关系国计民生的热门话题。自08年经济危机以来，我国经济社会的高速、稳定发展从内部要求人民币升值；伴随我国对外贸易的繁荣发展，欧美等国采取措施遏制中国出口顺差，加之国际热钱的流入，不断给人民币升值施加外部压力。
最近一段时期，2012年9月13日美国联邦储备委员会宣布了第三轮量化宽松货币政策，以进一步支持经济复苏和恢复劳工市场。2012年12月20日，日本量化宽松再增10万亿日元。全球市场经济体系不断受到由此带来的通胀和资产价格压力。与此同时，国内上扬的CPI指数和快速的通货膨胀都使人民币面临较大升值压力。
人民币升值对出口行业最直接的影响就是出口价格的相对提高,这就意味着我国产品在国际市场价格竞争力的下降,而价格优势本是中国产品的真正生命力。由于我国出口贸易多以美元计价，出口企业将外汇转化成人民币时还会遭受汇兑损失。而且,人民币升值会导致人工费用等生产成本增长,中国长期以来以低价格取胜、科技含量较低的劳动密集型出口企业将受到严重冲击。
但是人民币升值是一把双刃剑，在人民币升值带来的危机中蕴藏着巨大的机遇，倘若把握时机，促进产业结构调整，优化出口贸易结构，促使企业转变经营机制，则能够趋利避害，为自身发展创造新的突破。那么，如何采取措施使我国出口贸易行业顺利度过当前的潜在危机。本文分析人民币升值在出口贸易中的种种利与弊，针对其不利影响，大胆提出策略建议。
关键词：人民币升值；出口行业；影响
ABSTRACT：The appreciation of RMB has become a hot topic which is important to the people's livelihood. Since the economic crisis in 2008, economic and social development of our country need the appreciation of RMB.And with the prosperous development of China's foreign trade, Europe and the United States take measures to curb China's export, coupled with the inflow of international hot money, China is getting more and more pressure in the appreciation of RMB.
The appreciation make the prices of export increase directly, which means that our products’ competitiveness in price decrease in the international market.However,the advantage of price is the real vitality of "made in China". Export enterprises will suffer loss when they swap money. Moreover, the appreciation of RMB will lead to the increase of production costs, such as the payment of labor.The Chinese labor-intensive export enterprises will be seriously impact, because of their low price and low technological content.
September 13, 2012 United States Federal Reserve Board announced a third round of quantitative easing policy, in order to further support the economic recovery and the labor market. December 20, 2012, Japan soared to 10 trillion yen quantitative easing. Global market economy constantly being consequent inflation and asset price pressures. At the same time, the domestic CPI index and rapid rise in inflation are facing greater pressure to appreciate the yuan.
But "misfortune may be an actual blessing." The crisis of the appreciation of RMB brings enormous opportunity. If we seize the opportunity, promote the adjustment of industrial structure, optimize the structure of export trade, encourage enterprises to transform their operational mechanism, we can draw on the advantages and avoid disadvantages, creating new breakthrough for our development.So, how to take measures to make China's export come through the current crisis. This paper analysed all kinds of advantages and disadvantages of the appreciation of RMB in the export trade, and in view of its adverse effects,specified the strategies.
Keywords: appreciation of RMB; export; influence
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