日本对华直接投资对中日进出口贸易的影响分析.doc

摘要:本论文拟采取理论研究和实证分析两者并用的方法，采用了2004年到2012年的投资与贸易数据，利用计量模型，实证分析日本对华直接投资对我国进出口贸易的影响，并结合图表，研究日本对华直接投资对我国进出口贸易结构的影响，并考察近年日本对华直接投资的新变化，提出一定的政策建议。

　　　本文除开绪论和结论，一共有三章：

　　　第一章查找数据，结合图表论述日本对华直接投资和中日进出口贸易现状，以及中日关系新变化对中日进出口贸易的影响。

　　　第二章运用回归分析法，采用了2004-2012年的投资与贸易数据，进行实证分析，并结合图表，分别研究日本对华直接投资对我国对日出口贸易结构的影响以及对我国自日进口贸易结构的影响。

　　　第三章根据前文得出的结论，为促进日本对华投资，优化中日进出口贸易提出政策性建议。

关键词：进出口贸易；直接投资；实证分析；影响；建议

Abstract:This article intends to adopt the method of combining theoretical research and data analysis, using the data of investment and trade for the 2003-2012 chart analysis, to study the impact of Japan's direct investment in China's import and export trade, The result demonstrates that there is relationship between Japan to China direct Investment and China's import and export trade ,and analyzes new trends of Japan's investment in China in recent years, and put forward corresponding countermeasures.

　　　In addition to the introduction and conclusion, this article is divided into three chapters:

　　　The first chapter finding data, analyses Japan's direct investment in the status quo, the status quo of Sino-Japanese export trade with the chart and Sino-Japanese relations in the new changes on the impact of Japanese import and export trade.

　　　The second chapter using the data analysis, the use of the 2004-2012 investment and trade data for chart analysis, to study the impact of Japan's direct investment in China's import and export trade structure.

　　　The third chapter puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations which is based on the previous chapters . 

Keywords: Import and export trade; Direct investment;Regression model; Impact; Advise